Why didn’t anyone tell me this was on? I was doing laundry.
Fine. What’s the plan?
Can more U.S. troops in Afghanistan really convert Afghans into an effective fighting force? Will allies answer the call to do more? Is Pakistan truly prepared to take on the extremists who pose the greatest threat?
President Barack Obama said yes in his speech Tuesday laying out his plan to pour 30,000 more troops into the Afghan war, then begin pulling out in 18 months.
The prospects, though, at least judging by recent history, are mixed.
A look at some of his claims and how they compare with the reality on the ground:
OBAMA: The extra U.S. forces for Afghanistan “will increase our ability to train competent Afghan security forces and to partner with them so that more Afghans can get into the fight. And they will help create the conditions for the United States to transfer responsibility to the Afghans. ”
THE FACTS: The problem with Afghan forces is not just their lack of numbers. And it’s not an unwillingness to fight. The problem too often is their effectiveness, once trained for combat. Too many get into the fight but don’t remain or don’t perform.
Oh, but they’ll perform for Obama, won’t they? And if they won’t NATO will, right?
Right?
OBAMA: “Because this is an international effort, I have asked that our commitment be joined by contributions from our allies. Some have already provided additional troops, and we are confident that there will be further contributions in the days and weeks ahead.”
THE FACTS: Obama’s confidence skirts years of mostly empty-handed American efforts to get others, including allies in NATO, to deepen their commitment to combat in Afghanistan.
…
Obama is technically correct in anticipating that some allies will offer more assistance, possibly as early as the coming week during a series of NATO consultations about how the troop requirements of commanders in Afghanistan might be met. But history has shown that these troop contributions often are incremental, sometimes slow in materializing and frequently with conditions attached.
You’ve never seen so many soldiers lined up for KP duty as among the NATO forces in As-stan. And who can blame them? When Europe said “We are all America now” they didn’t mean they wanted to fight like American GIs. They import our young men to defeat their genocidal monsters.
Any other objections, AP (you sniping racists)?
OBAMA: “In the past, there have been those in Pakistan who have argued that the struggle against extremism is not their fight, and that Pakistan is better off doing little or seeking accommodation with those who use violence. But in recent years, as innocents have been killed from Karachi to Islamabad, it has become clear that it is the Pakistani people who are the most endangered by extremism. Public opinion has turned. The Pakistani Army has waged an offensive in Swat and South Waziristan. And there is no doubt that the United States and Pakistan share a common enemy.”
THE FACTS: It’s true the Pakistani army this year has launched offensives against extremist elements in the areas cited by Obama. What he did not mention, however, is that the groups being targeted by the Pakistanis are those that threaten the Pakistani government — not those, also based in Pakistan, that are focused on attacking U.S. and Afghan forces on the other side of the porous border.
And speaking of Pakistan, which candidate Obama wanted to bomb into the Stone Age, Pervez Musharraf has the ultimate objection:
We now have to deal with a complex situation. Casualties suffered by our soldiers in the line of duty will not go wasted only if we are able to fully secure our next generations from the menace of terrorism. The exit strategy from Afghanistan must not and cannot be time related. It has to ask, “What effect do we want to create on the ground?” We must eliminate al Qaeda, dominate the Taliban militarily, and establish a representative, legitimate government in Afghanistan.
Exactly. President Obama wants out before he’s gone in. What kind of sense does that make?
You know what? It makes perfect sense. Who wants to make an open ended commitment to a human septic tank like Afghanistan? I don’t. I have no faith that they’ll ever amount to a nation in the sense that we envision. “A representative, legitimate government in Afghanistan”? Surely he had to be laughing his ass off as he wrote that.
I’ll leave it to the AP to bitch about Obama incessantly. Today, I sympathize with my president. It took him three months to realize there is no good answer.
PS: Is it wrong of me to want the doctors to patch up Maj. Nidal Malik Hasan so we can send him over there to complete the mission to which he was assigned? The Taliban will do the job that American justice is too squeamish to do.