I’ve linked to Ralph Peters several times, so his displeasure with President Obama’s reported mini-surge in Afghanistan is no surprise.
But his rhetoric would be a shame to miss:
Tonight, he’ll announce a measured troop surge, justifying it with boilerplate remarks. He won’t tell us why holding Afghan dirt matters more than killing America’s enemies.
But he’ll also seek to soothe his base on the left, hinting at sharp limits on our commitment.
It’s the worst of both worlds: As if, during World War II, we’d told the Japanese and Germans that we really meant business, but intended to quit by 1944.
I believe that increasing our commitment to the loathsome Afghan government and occupying worthless Afghan real estate is folly. Yet, given a decision by the president to surge more troops, I want the effort to succeed. It won’t have a chance, though, if the Taliban are told that they just have to hang on. Afghans are very good at hanging on.
I’m in no position to mediate between General McChrystal and Colonel Peters, but I think McChrystal would agree with this:
The key word to listen for in tonight’s speech is “Pakistan.” Afghanistan’s an elusive booby prize — while, next door, we’re supporting (and strategically hostage to) a country that revels in anti-Americanism, harbors terrorists and sponsors terrorism. We have met the enemy — and written him a big, fat check.
Any strategy that doesn’t come to grips with Pakistan — beyond generalities about enhanced cooperation — is doomed.
But Peters is just preparing the triple lutz to finish his program off with a bang:
But strategic success isn’t Obama’s ultimate concern. He wants political cover and is doing all he can to ensure that he’s not on the blame-line, no matter what happens.
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You’ll find this strategic gift is half bicycle, half pony — and charged to your account.
Half bicycle, half pony—I think that’s his invention, and it’s brilliant.
Less brilliant, but just as bummed out, is Bob Herbert on the left:
I suppose we’ll never learn. President Obama will go on TV Tuesday night to announce that he plans to send tens of thousands of additional American troops to Afghanistan to fight in a war that has lasted most of the decade and has long since failed.
After going through an extended period of highly ritualized consultations and deliberations, the president has arrived at a decision that never was much in doubt, and that will prove to be a tragic mistake. It was also, for the president, the easier option.
It would have been much more difficult for Mr. Obama to look this troubled nation in the eye and explain why it is in our best interest to begin winding down the permanent state of warfare left to us by the Bush and Cheney regime. It would have taken real courage for the commander in chief to stop feeding our young troops into the relentless meat grinder of Afghanistan, to face up to the terrible toll the war is taking — on the troops themselves and in very insidious ways on the nation as a whole.
Sometimes, even hating Bush and Cheney isn’t enough.
But there is one person, David Brooks, who likes what he sees. He’s been taken in by Obama’s charm before, and it looks like it’s happened again:
President Obama faces such a devilishly complex set of constraints that the policy he announces will be partially unsatisfying to every American and to every member of his administration. The fights inside have been so brutal that there have been accusations that the Defense and State Departments have withheld documents from the president to bias his thinking.
Nonetheless, my impression, pre-speech, is that Obama has negotiated these constraints in a serious manner, and improved some of his options — for example, by accelerating troop deployments. He has not been enthusiastic about expanding the U.S. role in Afghanistan, but he has not evaded his responsibility as commander in chief, and he’s taking brave political risks.
“A serious manner”! Why not mention “responsible” and “inspiring”?
Those of us who consider ourselves moderates — moderate-conservative, in my case — are forced to confront the reality that Barack Obama is not who we thought he was. His words are responsible; his character is inspiring.
Brooks wrote that in March. He has had many occasions to rue those words in the month since. But danged if he didn’t just repeat them.
Last point: I’ve already covered John Kerry’s deathbed conversion to bellicosity, but he’s also the traitor behind the canard that President Bush let Osama bin Laden go back in ‘02.
Anybody else find it curious that this “revelation” appears on the eve of Obama’s great oration?
President Obama unveils his new Afghanistan strategy today, and in the nick of time Senator John Kerry has arrived with a report claiming that none of this would be necessary if former Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld had only deployed more troops eight years ago. Yes, he really said more troops.
In a 43-page report issued yesterday by his Senate Foreign Relations Committee, Mr. Kerry says bin Laden and deputy Ayman Zawahiri were poised for capture at the Tora Bora cave complex in late 2001. But because of the “unwillingness” of Mr. Rumsfeld and his generals “to deploy the troops required to take advantage of solid intelligence and unique circumstances to kill or capture bin Laden,” the al Qaeda leaders escaped.
This in turn “paved the way for exactly what we had hoped to avoid—a protracted insurgency that has cost more lives than anyone estimates would have been lost in a full-blown assault on Tora Bora.”
The timing of the report’s release suggests that Mr. Kerry intends this as political cover for Mr. Obama and Democrats, and some in the press corps have even taken it seriously. But coming from Mr. Kerry, of all people, this criticism is nothing short of astonishing.
In 2001, readers may recall, the Washington establishment that included Mr. Kerry was fretting about the danger in Afghanistan from committing too many troops.
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“For the moment what we are doing, I think, is having its impact and it is the best way to protect our troops and sort of minimalize the proximity, if you will. I think we have been doing this pretty effectively and we should continue to do it that way.”
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Adapting his legendary 2004 campaign locution, Mr. Kerry is now in favor of more troops after he was against them, but in any case not for very long.
I could say so much, but let me just offer this advice to Democrats: the truth is so much easier.