Americans earned less last month, the first decline in nearly two years. With less income, consumers could cut back on spending and weaken an already-fragile economy.
Consumers spent a little more in August despite seeing their incomes drop 0.1 percent, the Commerce Department said Friday. Consumer spending rose just 0.2 percent, after a more robust 0.7 percent gain in July.
Most of the increase in spending went to pay higher prices for food and gas. When adjusted for inflation, consumer spending was flat last month.
Many tapped their savings to cover the steeper costs. In August, the savings rate fell to its lowest level since December 2009.
The data offered “more evidence that households are in quite a bind,” said Paul Dales, senior U.S. economist at Capital Economics.
Employers added no new jobs in August and cut hourly earnings for the first time in more than three years.
Income growth has been sluggish for most of the year. After taking inflation into account, after-tax incomes actually fell 0.3 percent in August and 0.2 percent in July. That’s the first back-to-back declines in inflation-adjusted incomes since mid-2008, when the country was in the midst of the recession and financial crisis.
Even the increase in spending wasn’t necessarily a good sign. Consumers spent 0.3 percent more on nondurable goods, such as food and clothing.
On Friday, the average national price for a gallon of gas was $3.45. While that’s down nearly 53 cents from this year’s peak price, it’s nearly 76 cents more than what it costs a year ago.
Consumers spent less last month on big purchases, such as cars, appliances and furniture. Car sales fell during the month, but part of that weakness reflected supply problems stemming from the Japan crisis.
“Consumer spending is still rising, which is important for U.S. economic growth. But the gains are pretty mediocre,” said Jennifer Lee, senior economist at BMO Capital Markets.
Facing higher prices and earning less money, consumers saved only 4.5 percent last month. The savings rate rose as high as 6.5 percent in late 2008, at the height of the recession and financial crisis.
Prior to the recession, Americans saved just 2 percent. An abundance of jobs and inflated home prices made many resist stowing money away.
The economy grew at an annual rate of just 0.9 percent in the first six months of the year, the slowest growth since the recession officially ended more than two years ago.
Economists expect only slightly better growth in the second half of this year. But that’s based on expectations that consumers will spend more.
Some are predicting growth of around 2 percent in the second half of the year. That level of growth would ease recession fears, but it’s not enough to lower the unemployment rate, which was 9.2 percent in August.
Consumer confidence stayed weak in September after the economy experienced a number of shocks this summer. Lawmakers fought over raising the nation’s borrowing limit, Standard & Poor’s downgraded long-term U.S. debt, the stock market fluctuated wildly and Europe’s debt crisis intensified.
The Federal Reserve last week agreed to shift $400 billion of its portfolio of Treasury securities to try to drive down long-term interest rates. It was the Fed’s latest unconventional move seeking to give the economy a boost.
I am out of town (that is why posting is light) but I have a fascinating anecdote. A friend reported that her income went from over 150k, as an executive, to roughly 35k as an employee in a store. I didn’t ask, but I’d bet my house that she was struck by the lovely crease in Obama’s pants in 2008. Another friend got laid off two days ago, this one about forty years old and single. She too was almost certainly an O-bot. So here’s the question: Will these people vote for him again? Will their friends, spouses, neighbors?